Bhau's Secret Memoirs: Thoughts, Doubts, and Political Limits (Late 1760)
Marathi History Book Reading Session Summary
The Kaifiyat: Bhau's Unfiltered Thinking
What Is The Kaifiyat?
The Document:
- "Bhau Sahib Kaifiyat" = Bhau's thoughts/analysis
- Written by someone close to Bhau
- Anonymous author (possibly Nanath Puranthi)
- Based on observations of Bhau's thinking
- Third-person account of his thoughts
Its Significance:
- Not found in other official letters
- More honest/unfiltered than formal correspondence
- Reveals doubts and fears
- Shows internal conflict
- Authentic account of psychological state
The Authorship Question:
- Not written by Bhau himself
- Written by person close to him
- Someone who witnessed events
- Could interpret his thoughts/feelings
- Likely survived the battle
The Author's Survival
The Challenge:
- Had to survive the Panipat battle
- Escape without major injuries
- Return to Pune alive
- Write account within a year
- No small feat
The Validation:
- Freshness of memory
- Authenticity of details
- First-hand observation
- No time for embellishment
- Real-time emotions captured
The Identity:
- Possibly Nanath Puranthi
- Courtier in Peshwa court
- Went on northern campaign
- Escaped after battle
- Returned to safety
The Enthusiasm vs. Reality Gap
Early November: High Morale
The Confidence:
- First month of skirmishes: excitement high
- Enthusiasm ("Utsah") very strong
- "Hooked up for the fight"
- Feeling of invincibility
- Optimistic expectations
The Reality Check:
- Even with enthusiasm: needing supplies
- Money running short by late November
- Food supplies declining
- Still wanting/needing material goods
- Can't fight on excitement alone
The Problem
The Analysis:
- Govindpant couldn't cut Abdali's supplies
- Abdali not ready to attack Marathas
- Both sides avoiding full commitment
- Minor skirmishes only
- Stalemate persisting
The Afghan Caution:
- Abdali too smart to be reckless
- Won't foolishly throw forces forward
- Waiting for Maratha mistake
- Testing rather than attacking
- Strategic patience wearing Marathas
Vishwasrao's Desperation: The Letter to Peshwa
The Brother's Plea
The Context:
- Vishwasrao Peshwa = Bhau's brother
- Writing to their father (Nana Sahib)
- Desperate plea for help
- Critical resource shortage
- Acknowledging Bhau's pride
The Key Quote:
- "You'll get 10 sons like me"
- "But not a brother like Bhau"
- Acknowledging his uniqueness
- Expressing his value
- Desperate plea for support
The Honest Assessment
What Vishwasrao Reveals:
- "We don't have the resources"
- "Send more or else we're doomed"
- "Brother won't tell you he needs help"
- "He's in a risky position"
- "We are in troublesome situation"
The Contradiction:
- Bhau projecting confidence publicly
- But actually desperate privately
- Worried about losing face
- Can't admit weakness to Peshwa
- Vishwasrao forced to do it for him
Bhau's Pride Problem
The Issue:
- Won't tell Peshwa the truth
- Thinks admitting need = losing face
- Supposed to be leading to victory
- Given assurance of success
- Can't now say "uncertain"
The Consequence:
- Peshwa doesn't understand gravity
- Can't provide appropriate support
- Doesn't send reinforcements
- Underestimates danger
- Leaves campaign under-resourced
The Afghan Strength Reality
Vishwasrao's Assessment:
- "Gilcha (Afghan army) appearing stronger"
- Than originally thought
- Reassessing upward
- More formidable opponent
- Than expected intelligence indicated
The Implications:
- Initial estimates wrong
- Afghans better organized
- Abdali more capable
- Threat level increasing
- Situation more dire
The Stalemate Logic: Why They Can't Attack
The Battle Decision Dilemma
The Uncertainty:
- "Consequences will be devastating no matter what"
- Battle outcome uncertain
- Both sides will lose heavily
- Can't predict winner
- Only guarantee: massive casualties
The Waiting Strategy:
- "Tire out the enemy"
- Let logistics do the work
- Whoever runs out first: loses
- Supply depletion = defeat
- Attrition strategy
The Resource War
The Real War:
- Not about tactics/fighting
- About supplies/endurance
- "Whoever gets tired or runs out = loses"
- Easy to beat weakened opponent
- They'll "agree to any surrender terms"
The Assumption:
- Marathas thought they'd last longer
- Had better supply position
- Could outlast Afghans
- Afghans would break first
- Wrong assumption
Bhau's Strategic Limitations: The Statesman vs. Warrior Problem
The Political Context
The Bigger Picture:
- War about territory control
- "Boundary to be redrawn"
- Where Afghanistan and India intersect
- Not about Delhi throne
- About regional dominance
Abdali's Position:
- "Wants control of Punjab"
- Claims it as part of his empire
- Has appointed his own subedar
- Has own officials in Punjab
- Refusing to withdraw
The Maratha Position:
- "That's not going to happen"
- Punjab belongs to Mughal India
- Afghans are foreigners
- "All Indian powers should defend"
- No budging on this
The Impossible Situation
The Sticking Point:
- Nobody willing to budge
- Abdali won't give up Punjab claim
- Marathas won't accept his claim
- Potential truce only "on our terms"
- No middle ground available
The Coalition Problem: Bhau Couldn't Unite India
The Bhau Strategy
His Vision:
- All Indian powers unite
- Stand together against Afghans
- Afghans = total foreigners
- Should have united defense
- Common cause against invasion
The Reality:
- Only Marathas willing to fight
- Rajputs didn't join
- Suraj Mal Jat didn't join
- Others neutral or opposed
- Suja Uddaula ambiguous
- No unified Indian response
The Leadership Failures
The Political Weakness:
- Bhau couldn't make Indian kings unite
- Couldn't build coalition
- Couldn't create common cause
- Failed at political strategy
- Left alone to face Afghans
The Commander Weakness:
- "Not a good politician and not a good commander either"
- Fought like warrior on ground
- But should have been general/statesman
- Supposed to coordinate strategy
- Not get personally involved in fighting
The Role Confusion
The Wrong Job:
- "Supposed to be general and statesman"
- "Not supposed to get on ground fighting"
- Got personally involved in battle
- Lost oversight of bigger picture
- Fought like warrior instead of commanding
The Desperation Mounting
The Crisis Indicators
The Reality:
- Enthusiasm declining
- Money decreasing
- Supplies running short
- Funds running short
- "In a pickle"
The Psychological State:
- Mounting stress
- Growing doubt
- Pressure building
- No relief in sight
- Crisis deepening
The Impossible Choice
The Options:
- Start battle in hurry: devastating
- Wait indefinitely: unsustainable
- Negotiate: requires Punjab concession (unacceptable)
- Get reinforcements: Peshwa won't send
- Cut Abdali's supplies: Bundele can't do it
The Result:
- Trapped in stalemate
- No good option
- Every choice bad
- Time working against them
- Crisis point approaching
The Hidden Desperation
What Wasn't Said Publicly
The Private Reality:
- Bhau very worried
- Situation more dangerous than admitted
- Younger brother forced to beg for help
- Peshwa doesn't understand
- Command structure failing
The Challenge:
- Pride preventing honesty
- Face-saving preventing pragmatism
- Confidence projection preventing realism
- Bravado preventing asking for help
- Doomed by own pretenses
Key Themes
- The Kaifiyat Truth - Reveals thoughts hidden from official record
- Pride vs. Pragmatism - Bhau won't admit desperation
- Brother's Burden - Vishwasrao forced to tell truth Bhau won't
- Peshwa Ignorance - Doesn't understand actual situation
- Coalition Failure - Couldn't unite Indians against Afghans
- Role Confusion - Warrior instead of statesman/general
- Stalemate Unsustainable - Can't last indefinitely
- Mounting Desperation - Crisis point approaching
Where This Leads: Beneath the confident letters sent south, Bhau is privately terrified. The Kaifiyat reveals the real thinking: this is more dangerous than admitted, resources are critical, Afghans stronger than expected. Vishwasrao is forced to be the voice of reason his brother won't be. Peshwa in Pune has no idea how dire things are. And Bhau's failure to unite other Indian powers means the Marathas stand alone. The stalemate is unsustainable. Something must break soon. And when it does, it will be catastrophic.
What Bhau thought at night, in his tent, away from public view. That's what the Kaifiyat reveals. Not the confident letters sent south. Not the warrior confidence shown to troops. But the real thinking. The doubts. The fears. The calculation that whatever happens in this battle—win or lose—it will be devastating. That the Afghans are stronger than anyone expected. That the Marathas stand alone because he failed to unite India. That the stalemate is unsustainable. That something must break. And that when it breaks, it might not break his way.